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Tag: 2018 Atlantic hurricane season

Category 4 Hector expected to remain south of Hawaii, John a Category 2, Kristy forms in the eastern Pacific, SS Debby forms in the North Atlantic

Category 4 Hector expected to remain south of Hawaii, John a Category 2, Kristy forms in the eastern Pacific, SS Debby forms in the North Atlantic

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The tropics are very active today. In the Central Pacific, Hurricane Hector is currently a Category 4 hurricane, slightly weaker than yesterday when it neared Category 5 intensity. Hector is expected to pass south of the Hawaiian Islands, but a Tropical Storm Watch is currently in effect for Hawaii’s Big Island. In the far eastern Pacific, Hurricane John is gradually strengthening and is now a Category 2 hurricane. To the west of John is newly formed Tropical Storm Kristy, which…

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Hector now a major hurricane, TD 11-E gradually strengthening, several invests may develop

Hector now a major hurricane, TD 11-E gradually strengthening, several invests may develop

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The eastern Pacific basin is very active with one hurricane (Hector), one tropical depression (11-E), and two systems likely to become tropical depressions over the next couple days (Invests 94E and 95E). There is also one non-tropical low (Invest 97L) over the high-latitude Atlantic which could gradually acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics over the next few days. Hurricane Hector, now a Category 3 hurricane after briefly attaining Category 4 status last night, is expected to slowly weaken as it moves…

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Cyclonic Fury’s final 2018 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Slightly below average activity anticipated

Cyclonic Fury’s final 2018 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Slightly below average activity anticipated

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Cyclonic Fury has released its July 2018 Atlantic hurricane season forecast update, and we now anticipate that the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season will see activity slightly below the long-term average. Our final forecast anticipates a total of 10-13 named storms to form in the Atlantic basin this year, along with 5-7 hurricanes, 1-3 major hurricanes and an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index of 80 (+/- 20) units. This forecast includes the three systems that have already formed in the Atlantic…

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Beryl hanging on as a subtropical storm, 99E could develop over the east-central Pacific

Beryl hanging on as a subtropical storm, 99E could develop over the east-central Pacific

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Subtropical Storm Beryl is barely hanging on as a subtropical cyclone this morning, with a small area of deep convection to the southeast of the center. However, Beryl should become a remnant low tonight or on Monday morning, since it is about to move away from the Gulf Stream in about 12 hours. Beryl’s remnants may reach Newfoundland on Tuesday, but they are likely to be very weak by that time and minimal impact is anticipated. In the eastern Pacific,…

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Beryl regenerates into a subtropical storm over the western Atlantic

Beryl regenerates into a subtropical storm over the western Atlantic

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The strange life of once Hurricane Beryl, which was a tiny hurricane in the deep Atlantic tropics last week, continues. The low pressure system associated with the remnants of Beryl have regenerated into a subtropical storm and advisories have been initiated by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Beryl is not likely to strengthen much, if at all, and should degenerate into a non-convective remnant low by Monday. As of 1:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, Subtropical Storm Beryl was centered near 36.4°N…

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Beryl’s remnants still may regenerate this weekend

Beryl’s remnants still may regenerate this weekend

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The remnants of Hurricane Beryl have become better organized today and still have a low chance to regenerate into a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next day or two. Environmental conditions are only marginal for development, with wind shear moderate to strong and sea surface temperatures are expected to cool by Sunday. As of 18:00 UTC Friday, the remnants of Beryl were located near 34.0°N 68.4°W, and were moving north-northeastward at about 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 25…

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Category 2 Chris begins to weaken, Beryl still could regenerate near Bermuda

Category 2 Chris begins to weaken, Beryl still could regenerate near Bermuda

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Category 2 Hurricane Chris, which reached its peak intensity early this morning with maximum sustained winds of 90 knots (105 mph) and a minimum pressure of 970 mb, has begun to weaken today as it moves northeastward away from the United States. Chris is now the strongest Atlantic hurricane to form in July since Dolly in 2008. In the western Atlantic, the remnants of Hurricane Beryl remain poorly organized, but they could regenerate west of Bermuda late this week or…

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Chris becomes the second hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, Beryl still could regenerate

Chris becomes the second hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, Beryl still could regenerate

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Tropical Storm Chris over the western Atlantic quickly developed a well-defined eye this morning, and strengthened into the second hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season this afternoon. Chris is likely to strengthen some more over the next 24 hours or so before it moves over very cool waters late tomorrow or early Thursday. Chris becomes the second Atlantic hurricane of 2018 As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Tuesday, Hurricane Chris was centered near 33.7°N 72.4°W, and was moving northeastward at…

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Chris near hurricane strength, Beryl could regenerate north of the Bahamas

Chris near hurricane strength, Beryl could regenerate north of the Bahamas

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After struggling with dry air and cold water upwelling earlier today, Tropical Storm Chris has resumed strengthening over the western Atlantic. Chris is likely to intensify into a hurricane tonight or tomorrow before it accelerates to the northeast. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Tropical Storm Chris was centered near 32.2°N 74.4°W, and was nearly stationary. Maximum sustained winds were 60 knots (70 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 996 mb. Chris is currently just below the threshold of…

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Beryl opens up into a wave, Chris expected to become a hurricane along the Gulf Stream

Beryl opens up into a wave, Chris expected to become a hurricane along the Gulf Stream

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The unusually active July in the Atlantic basin continues. While Tropical Storm Beryl has degenerated into a tropical wave, it could regenerate east of the Bahamas by late next week. In addition to Beryl is recently named Tropical Storm Chris, which should intensify into a hurricane by Tuesday as it moves little, and then eventually northeastward along the Gulf Stream. If Chris intensifies into a hurricane as expected, the Atlantic will have two hurricanes form in the month of July…

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