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Month: June 2019

Tropical Storm Barbara forms over the eastern Pacific, likely to become a long-lived hurricane

Tropical Storm Barbara forms over the eastern Pacific, likely to become a long-lived hurricane

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Barbara, the second named storm of the 2019 Pacific hurricane season, formed on Sunday morning, and is likely to become the second hurricane and possibly the first major hurricane of the season. It is possible that Barbara could enter the Central Pacific basin in about a week, but it remains too soon to tell if it will affect the Hawaiian Islands. Barbara formed about five days later than the climatological average for the second named storm in the eastern Pacific…

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TD One-E forms over the eastern Pacific, no threat to land

TD One-E forms over the eastern Pacific, no threat to land

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After a 232-day tropical cyclone drought, a tropical cyclone has formed in the eastern Pacific basin. A small area of low pressure developed into Tropical Depression One-E today, making it the latest-forming first tropical depression in the basin since reliable records began in 1971. One-E is likely to become a tropical storm, but is likely to be short-lived as it encounters unfavorable conditions later this week. As of 2:00 p.m. PDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Depression One-E was centered near…

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91L very unlikely to develop as it brings heavy rainfall to the Western Gulf Coast

91L very unlikely to develop as it brings heavy rainfall to the Western Gulf Coast

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Due to its large size and increasing wind shear, Invest 91L has struggled to develop, and it is likely out of time to develop into a tropical cyclone. As of 18:00 UTC Tuesday, Invest 91L was centered near  23.8°N 97.4°W. Maximum sustained winds were 25 knots (30 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1008 mb. Although thunderstorm activity has increased today, the disturbance remains disorganized and continues to lack a well-defined circulation. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) gave 91L…

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Little change with Invest 91L over the Bay of Campeche

Little change with Invest 91L over the Bay of Campeche

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Invest 91L over the Bay of Campeche has not changed much in organization since yesterday. The associated thunderstorm activity remains somewhat disorganized, and the low-level circulation is not yet well defined enough to be classified as a tropical depression. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft was scheduled to visit 91L this afternoon, but the flight was canceled as 91L remains poorly organized. As of 18:00 UTC Sunday, Invest 91L was centered near 19.7°N 94.5°W, and was nearly stationary. Maximum sustained…

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Hurricane season Day 1: Invest 91L over the Bay of Campeche gradually organizing

Hurricane season Day 1: Invest 91L over the Bay of Campeche gradually organizing

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The 2019 Atlantic hurricane season officially starts today, and right on schedule, we are monitoring an area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche for tropical development. It has been designated Invest 91L, and has a medium chance of development within the next 48 hours. If 91L becomes a tropical storm, it would be named Barry. The average second named storm in the Atlantic basin does not form until August 1, so if 91L develops, it will be well…

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