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Month: August 2018

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six expected to develop, an Atlantic tropical wave to watch, Norman a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six expected to develop, an Atlantic tropical wave to watch, Norman a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific

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The tropics are very active today in both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific. In the tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave which has just exited the coast of Africa has been designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Six and Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for parts of the Cabo Verde Islands. This wave should develop into Tropical Storm Florence on Friday, and could become a hurricane as it moves west-northwestward by late this weekend. There is also a tropical wave currently being…

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Lane still a Category 4 hurricane; Big Island, Maui and Oahu under a Hurricane Warning

Lane still a Category 4 hurricane; Big Island, Maui and Oahu under a Hurricane Warning

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Despite increasing wind shear, Hurricane Lane is only slowly weakening and is still a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Lane is expected to make its closest approach to the islands tomorrow, though it is possible that the hurricane does not even make landfall. Even if Lane does not make landfall, heavy rainfall and strong winds are likely. Lane still a Category 4 hurricane but expected to weaken as it passes west of Hawaii As of 11:00…

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Hurricane Warnings for Hawai’i and Maui as Hurricane Lane approaches the Hawaiian Islands, Atlantic may awaken soon

Hurricane Warnings for Hawai’i and Maui as Hurricane Lane approaches the Hawaiian Islands, Atlantic may awaken soon

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Hurricane Lane, which reached peak intensity early this morning as a rare Category 5 hurricane over the Central Pacific, has weakened to a Category 4 hurricane this afternoon but remains a very powerful hurricane. Lane, the strongest Central Pacific hurricane since Ioke in 2006, continues to pose a serious threat to the Hawaiian Islands even if the center of the storm does not make landfall. Lane a Category 4 but still very powerful As of 11:00 a.m. HST (5:00 p.m….

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Lane near Category 5 status – poses a serious threat to Hawaiian Islands

Lane near Category 5 status – poses a serious threat to Hawaiian Islands

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Although global models were in good agreement that Hurricane Lane would most likely pass south of the Hawaiian Islands, over the past day or so models have trended much closer to the state, and direct impacts are looking increasing likely. Hurricane Lane is now a very dangerous high-end Category 4 hurricane and could intensify into a Category 5 hurricane later today. If Lane intensifies into a Category 5 hurricane, it will be the first Category 5 hurricane in the Central…

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Lane intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Central Pacific basin

Lane intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Central Pacific basin

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The Atlantic basin has gone quiet with the post-tropical transition of Tropical Storm Ernesto, but Hurricane Lane in the eastern Pacific Ocean has intensified into a Category 4 hurricane. Lane is the fourth major hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season, and the fourth Category 4 hurricane of the season. Lane is likely to remain a powerful hurricane over the next few days, though fluctuations in intensity are likely as with most major hurricanes. As of 8:00 a.m. PDT (11:00…

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Ernesto holding on as a tropical storm, Lane a Category 2 hurricane, 99L not expected to develop

Ernesto holding on as a tropical storm, Lane a Category 2 hurricane, 99L not expected to develop

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Tropical Storm Ernesto is holding on as a tropical storm over the Northeastern Atlantic despite cold sea surface temperatures, but should transition into a post-tropical cyclone tonight. In the eastern Pacific, Lane has intensified into a Category 2 hurricane, and some additional intensification is likely over the next day or two as it heads for the Central Pacific. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Tropical Storm Ernesto was centered near 49.1°N 29.8°W, and was moving northeastward at about 31 mph….

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Ernesto and Lane gain strength, Invest 99L has a low chance to develop

Ernesto and Lane gain strength, Invest 99L has a low chance to develop

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Subtropical Storm Ernesto over the Northern Atlantic and Tropical Storm Lane over the eastern Pacific have both intensified since yesterday. Ernesto is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone on Friday, while Lane is likely to continue to strengthen and become a major hurricane as it enters the Central Pacific. In the tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave, Invest 99L, has a low chance to develop into a weak tropical cyclone as it approaches the Windward Islands this weekend. Ernesto slightly stronger…

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Subtropical Storm Ernesto forms over the Northern Atlantic, TS Lane expected to become a major hurricane in the central Pacific

Subtropical Storm Ernesto forms over the Northern Atlantic, TS Lane expected to become a major hurricane in the central Pacific

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The strange 2018 Atlantic hurricane season continues. Subtropical Storm Ernesto has formed over the Northern Atlantic, the fifth named storm of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. Ernesto is the fourth named storm this season to have subtropical characteristics at some point during its life. Ernesto has developed more than two weeks before the average fifth named storm in the Atlantic basin (August 31). Now that we are in mid-August, we are entering the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. The…

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98L over subtropical Atlantic may acquire subtropical characteristics, 97E in eastern Pacific expected to develop

98L over subtropical Atlantic may acquire subtropical characteristics, 97E in eastern Pacific expected to develop

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There are currently no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins, but there is a low pressure system that may develop in each basin. In the Atlantic, a non-tropical low (Invest 98L) is developing a new center of circulation and could gradually acquire subtropical characteristics by early Thursday. In the eastern Pacific, a well-defined low pressure system (Invest 97E) is likely to develop into a tropical depression over the next day or two as it tracks westward…

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Category 4 Hector expected to remain south of Hawaii, John a Category 2, Kristy forms in the eastern Pacific, SS Debby forms in the North Atlantic

Category 4 Hector expected to remain south of Hawaii, John a Category 2, Kristy forms in the eastern Pacific, SS Debby forms in the North Atlantic

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The tropics are very active today. In the Central Pacific, Hurricane Hector is currently a Category 4 hurricane, slightly weaker than yesterday when it neared Category 5 intensity. Hector is expected to pass south of the Hawaiian Islands, but a Tropical Storm Watch is currently in effect for Hawaii’s Big Island. In the far eastern Pacific, Hurricane John is gradually strengthening and is now a Category 2 hurricane. To the west of John is newly formed Tropical Storm Kristy, which…

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