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Month: July 2020

Hurricane Isaias a threat to Bahamas and Southeastern U.S., TD 10 forms over the far eastern Atlantic

Hurricane Isaias a threat to Bahamas and Southeastern U.S., TD 10 forms over the far eastern Atlantic

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The anomalously active July has come to a close over the Atlantic basin with a record-breaking 6 tropical cyclones, 5 of which became named storms (tying the record from the 2005 season) and 2 of which have become hurricanes. Hurricane Isaias is slowly strengthening over the central Bahamas, and may still be a hurricane when it approaches the coast of Florida and eventually the Carolinas on Sunday and Monday. In the far eastern Atlantic, a small area of low pressure…

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Cyclonic Fury’s final 2020 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Potentially hyperactive season predicted

Cyclonic Fury’s final 2020 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Potentially hyperactive season predicted

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The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season has been off to a historic start. Nine named storms have formed so far, including two hurricanes (Hanna and Isaias). Nine named storms is the most on record through this date, surpassing the 2005 season, which had the most named storms on record (28). However, Accumulated Cyclone Energy is much lower than 2005, since most of the storms have been weak and short-lived and only two have reached hurricane strength. It should be stressed, though,…

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Hanna becomes the first hurricane of the season as it threatens South Texas

Hanna becomes the first hurricane of the season as it threatens South Texas

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It’s a very busy Saturday in late July in the tropics. In the western Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Storm Hanna has strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane, making it the first hurricane of the season. Near the Windward Islands, Tropical Storm Gonzalo is likely very close to opening up into a tropical wave. In the Central Pacific, Hurricane Douglas is gradually weakening, but still could be a tropical cyclone near the Hawaiian Islands. In the far eastern Atlantic, there is…

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Gonzalo less organized, TD 8 likely to become TS Hanna over the Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

Gonzalo less organized, TD 8 likely to become TS Hanna over the Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

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For the first time of 2020, two Atlantic tropical cyclones are active at once. Small Tropical Storm Gonzalo over the central tropical Atlantic unexpectedly weakened on Friday, which is not too surprising considering small tropical cyclones often undergo unexpected intensity changes. Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Eight formed over the central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday night, and is likely to become a tropical storm very soon as it moves westward towards Texas. The current record earliest 8th tropical storm was Tropical…

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Tropical Depression Seven forms over the central tropical Atlantic, Invest 91L may develop over Northern Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Depression Seven forms over the central tropical Atlantic, Invest 91L may develop over Northern Gulf of Mexico

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The Atlantic’s first tropical cyclone in the deep tropics formed on Tuesday – Tropical Depression Seven. TD Seven is likely to become a tropical storm over the next few days, but faces a very uncertain future. It may threaten the Windward Islands, but its intensity remains highly uncertain. In addition to TD Seven, Invest 91L has a chance to develop over the Northwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Tuesday, Tropical Depression Seven was centered…

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Fay becomes the first tropical storm on record to make landfall in New Jersey during July

Fay becomes the first tropical storm on record to make landfall in New Jersey during July

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Tropical Storm Fay made landfall just northeast of Atlantic City, New Jersey on Friday afternoon – making it the first Atlantic tropical storm to make landfall in New Jersey during the month of July on record, and the first fully tropical cyclone to make landfall in the state since Irene in 2011. Fay peaked with maximum sustained winds of 50 knots (60 mph) and a minimum pressure of 998 mb at 2:00 p.m. EDT Friday. Since that time, Fay has…

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Tropical Storm Fay forms off the Outer Banks of North Carolina – expected to threaten Northeastern United States as a tropical storm

Tropical Storm Fay forms off the Outer Banks of North Carolina – expected to threaten Northeastern United States as a tropical storm

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The North Atlantic basin’s earliest sixth named storm, Tropical Storm Fay, was named Thursday afternoon. Fay developed from a non-tropical system that had spent the past several days inland over the Southeastern United States. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Thursday, Tropical Storm Fay was centered near 35.5°N 74.9°W, and was moving northward at about 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 40 knots (45 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1005 mb. An Air Force Reconnaissance Aircraft investigated Fay this…

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