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Dora peaks as a strong category 1 hurricane, two other systems to watch over coming days

Dora peaks as a strong category 1 hurricane, two other systems to watch over coming days

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Tropical Storm Dora rapidly intensified last night to become the first hurricane of the 2017 Pacific hurricane season. Dora strengthened to a high-end category 1 hurricane this afternoon, but cooling sea surface temperatures are likely to induce a weakening trend beginning tonight. Dora should weaken to a remnant low by Thursday as it continues moving northwestward in the Eastern Pacific. Forecast for Dora As of 3:00 p.m. MDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Hurricane Dora was centered in the Eastern Pacific near 17.8°N…

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Tropical Storm Dora forms over the East Pacific, expected to become first hurricane of season

Tropical Storm Dora forms over the East Pacific, expected to become first hurricane of season

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Early Sunday, Tropical Depression Four-E strengthened into Tropical Storm Dora, becoming the fourth named storm of the 2017 Pacific hurricane season. Dora has continued to strengthen this morning, although its circulation center has become partially exposed to the north of the main convective mass. Dora is likely to strengthen to a minimal hurricane by Tuesday before weakening commences as the cyclone moves over cooler waters. As of 10:00 a.m. CDT  (11:00 a.m. EDT), Dora was centered near 15.0°N 101.8°W and was…

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Invest 93E in Eastern Pacific very close to Tropical Depression Status, likely to become Tropical Storm Dora

Invest 93E in Eastern Pacific very close to Tropical Depression Status, likely to become Tropical Storm Dora

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Invest 93E in the Eastern Pacific has become better organized today, and is very close to becoming a tropical depression. 93E has a very large convective canopy, but lacks a central dense overcast.  This could be the reason why it has not yet been classified as a tropical depression. The National Hurricane Center gives 93E a 90 percent chance of development, both within 48 hours and five days. They also said that advisories could be initiated tonight if the organization…

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A look at the Atlantic: June 23, 2017

A look at the Atlantic: June 23, 2017

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For the first time in two weeks, it is Friday and the Atlantic has quieted down. That means it is time to take a look at the Atlantic. The Atlantic has quieted down after Tropical Storms Bret and Cindy. Cindy has transitioned into a post-tropical low this evening. The Atlantic is soon going to enter its normal “summer quiescence” with no development expected until at least mid-July. Due to a suppressed MJO phase, Atlantic activity during early July is not…

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Cindy makes landfall in Southwestern Louisiana, weakens to a Tropical Depression, heavy rainfall threat continues

Cindy makes landfall in Southwestern Louisiana, weakens to a Tropical Depression, heavy rainfall threat continues

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Tropical Storm Cindy made landfall in Southwestern Louisiana around 4:00 AM CDT Thursday morning, west of the town of Cameron. Cindy at the time of landfall had maximum sustained winds of 35 knots (40 mph) with a minimum pressure of 994 mb. Since landfall, the appearance of Cindy has degraded, and Cindy has since been downgraded to a tropical depression. Cindy remains a tropical depression this evening, but advisories are now being issued by the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) instead…

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Gulf Coast, Southeast prepare for disorganized Tropical Storm Cindy

Gulf Coast, Southeast prepare for disorganized Tropical Storm Cindy

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Tropical Storm Cindy remains disorganized today over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Cindy is expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border around 4:00 AM CDT (local time) Thursday. Cindy’s formation date of June 20 is nearly two months earlier than the climatological average date of the third named storm, August 13. However, it should be stressed that early-season Gulf of Mexico storms are not a strong indicator of the overall seasonal activity (but early-season development in the deep tropics,…

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Bret opens up into a wave, Tropical Storm Cindy expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border Thursday morning

Bret opens up into a wave, Tropical Storm Cindy expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border Thursday morning

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The short life of Tropical Storm Bret came to an end Tuesday afternoon as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) downgraded it to a remnant low because it degenerated into a tropical wave. Meanwhile, Potential Tropical Cyclone Three was upgraded to Tropical Storm Cindy, the third named storm of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, and is forecast to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border and bring heavy rains to the Southeastern United States. Historic Tropical Storm Bret degenerates into a tropical…

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Tropical Storm Bret becomes earliest named storm in Atlantic MDR, Potential Tropical Cyclone Three a threat to Gulf Coast

Tropical Storm Bret becomes earliest named storm in Atlantic MDR, Potential Tropical Cyclone Three a threat to Gulf Coast

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Two was upgraded to Tropical Storm Bret Monday afternoon by the National Hurricane Center after an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft identified a well-defined circulation. This makes Bret the earliest Atlantic named storm to form in the Atlantic deep tropics east of the Lesser Antilles on record. In addition, the NHC initiated advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Three in the Gulf of Mexico – which is likely to develop into Tropical Storm Cindy tomorrow and threaten East Texas or Louisiana later…

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92L becomes Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, expected to become Tropical Storm Bret, 93L poised to become Tropical Storm Cindy

92L becomes Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, expected to become Tropical Storm Bret, 93L poised to become Tropical Storm Cindy

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The National Hurricane Center (NHC) unveiled a new product Sunday afternoon with the initiation of advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two (formerly Invest 92L). Potential TC Two is given a high (90 percent) chance of development within 48 hours by the NHC, and is expected to become Tropical Storm Bret tomorrow. Invest 93L in the Northwestern Caribbean Sea remains disorganized this evening, but the NHC gives 93L an 80 percent chance of development within 48 hours and a 90 percent chance…

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Twin invests: 92L struggling to develop thunderstorms, 93L likely to become tropical storm over Gulf of Mexico

Twin invests: 92L struggling to develop thunderstorms, 93L likely to become tropical storm over Gulf of Mexico

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For the first time since September 2016, the Atlantic has two investigative areas (known officially as invests) at once! Yesterday, a tropical wave was designated 92L in the central Atlantic. This morning, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) designated Invest 93L – a broad area of low pressure over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. Both have a significant chance of developing into tropical cyclones over the next few days. The NHC gives 92L a 40 percent chance of development within 48 hours,…

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