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Tag: Seasonal Forecasts

NOAA: Expect an active hurricane season in both the Atlantic and Pacific

NOAA: Expect an active hurricane season in both the Atlantic and Pacific

As expected, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released their 2017 hurricane season forecasts for both the Atlantic and East Pacific basins this morning. Their outlook calls for a near to above average season for both basins. NOAA largely based their forecasts on the development of a “weak or nonexistent El Niño.” For the Atlantic basin, NOAA is expecting 11 to 17 named storms, 5 to 9 hurricanes and 2 to 4 major hurricanes. Their report also called for a 45%…

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My 2017 East Pacific hurricane season forecast

My 2017 East Pacific hurricane season forecast

It is not often you see East Pacific hurricane season forecasts, so I decided to make my own. NOAA is likely going to release their East Pacific hurricane season forecast later today, but most other agencies do not release seasonal forecasts for the East Pacific basin. Last season, the East Pacific basin saw an above-average season with 22 named storms, 13 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes, despite a weak La Niña – which typically suppresses the East Pacific basin. The…

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2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be released from NOAA tomorrow, other forecast updates also to be released soon

2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be released from NOAA tomorrow, other forecast updates also to be released soon

Tomorrow, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is expected to release their official 2017 forecasts for both the Atlantic and East Pacific basins. This forecast is usually the most anticipated one of the year. Last year, NOAA predicted in late May that the Atlantic would see 10-16 named storms, 4-8 hurricanes and 2-4 major hurricanes. This forecast verified quite well at the upper end of the range, with the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season seeing 15 named storms, 7 hurricanes…

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My 2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

My 2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

Welcome to Cyclonic Fury’s Daily Blog! From now until the end of November, I will add a blog post nearly every day about the latest news in tropical weather. Today is May 15 – and the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins in only 17 days.  Tropical cyclones form primarily in the Atlantic between June 1 and November 30 (the dates that are officially considered Atlantic hurricane season), however, they can form before or after these dates, as evidenced by Tropical…

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