Browsed by
Tag: Daily Blog

Subtropical Storm Alberto forms over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea

Subtropical Storm Alberto forms over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea

Comments 0 Comment

For the fourth year in a row, a pre-season tropical or subtropical cyclone has formed over the Atlantic basin. At 11:00 a.m. EDT Friday, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) initiated advisories on Subtropical Storm Alberto over the Northwestern Caribbean. Alberto is expected to emerge into the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday, where it will likely find environmental conditions more favorable for strengthening. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT, newly-named Subtropical Storm Alberto was centered near 19.7°N 86.8°W, and was moving north-northeast at…

Read More Read More

Invest 90L becoming better organized over the Yucatan Peninsula, expected to develop

Invest 90L becoming better organized over the Yucatan Peninsula, expected to develop

Comments 0 Comment

Invest 90L is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone by Sunday morning, and will likely make landfall somewhere between the western Florida Panhandle and eastern Louisiana. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) now gives 90L a 70 percent chance of development within 48 hours, and a 90 percent chance within five days. Models have come into better agreement from yesterday, and it appears likely that the Atlantic will see a pre-season named storm for the fourth season in a row….

Read More Read More

Invest 90L likely to develop over Gulf of Mexico this weekend – heavy rain remains the primary threat

Invest 90L likely to develop over Gulf of Mexico this weekend – heavy rain remains the primary threat

Comments 0 Comment

Showers and thunderstorms have become slightly better organized with Invest 90L, currently located over the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula. Strong wind shear and land interaction are expected to limit organization for the next couple of days, but some development is likely by Saturday when it emerges into the central or eastern Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) now gives 90L a near zero percent chance of formation within 48 hours, but a 60 percent chance within five days. The…

Read More Read More

Invest 90L may develop over Gulf of Mexico, potential track remains very uncertain

Invest 90L may develop over Gulf of Mexico, potential track remains very uncertain

Comments 0 Comment

On Monday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) designated an elongated surface low over the Northwestern Caribbean Invest 90L – the first “Invest” of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. The NHC gives 90L a near zero percent chance of development during the next 48 hours, but a 40 percent chance of development within five days. An Invest – short for area of investigation – is an area of disturbed weather being monitored for potential tropical or subtropical development. Invests are…

Read More Read More

Broad low pressure area likely to form over the Northwestern Caribbean next week, may develop

Broad low pressure area likely to form over the Northwestern Caribbean next week, may develop

Comments 0 Comment

The first tropical cyclone of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season has a chance to form late next week – and may lead to a messy Memorial Day weekend for Florida and the Southeastern United States, regardless of development. A Central American Gyre (CAG) and a Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave (CCKW) are expected to increase convection over the Western Caribbean Sea, leading to the formation of a broad area of low pressure. The low pressure area is expected to be pulled…

Read More Read More

Tropical development not expected in Gulf of Mexico, 2018 Pacific hurricane season officially begins

Tropical development not expected in Gulf of Mexico, 2018 Pacific hurricane season officially begins

Comments 0 Comment

The non-tropical area of low pressure located over the Gulf of Mexico has failed to organize, and tropical or subtropical development appears quite unlikely at this time. In a 8:00 a.m. EDT Tuesday Special Tropical Weather Outlook, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) lowered 48-hour and five-day development chances to 10%. It appears as if the dry environment and fairly cool sea surface temperatures. The low pressure system remains poorly organized, with minimal convective activity. None of the reliable 12z Wednesday…

Read More Read More

Low pressure system over Gulf of Mexico struggling to organize

Low pressure system over Gulf of Mexico struggling to organize

Comments 0 Comment

A broad, non-tropical low pressure system, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, has not become better organized today. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has decreased the development chances of the disturbance to 20% within 48 hours and 30% within five days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft was scheduled to visit the disturbance on Tuesday afternoon, but with decreasing chances of development, this flight may be canceled. Although tropical or subtropical development is becoming less likely, the disturbance…

Read More Read More

Hyperactive 2017 Atlantic hurricane season comes to an end

Hyperactive 2017 Atlantic hurricane season comes to an end

Comments 0 Comment

November 30 marks the official end of the Atlantic and East Pacific hurricane seasons. After seven months of activity, beginning with Tropical Storm Arlene in April and ending with Tropical Storm Rina in November, it is finally over. While the Eastern Pacific had an active, but fairly uneventful season, the Atlantic recorded its fifth most active season in terms of named storms and seventh most active season in terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). The season will generally be most…

Read More Read More

Unusual November Tropical Action: Watching Invests 96L and 94E

Unusual November Tropical Action: Watching Invests 96L and 94E

Comments 0 Comment

It may be Veterans Day, but the Atlantic and East Pacific hurricane seasons still may not be over just yet. A trough of low pressure located southwest of the Azores – recently designated Invest 96L – has a chance to develop some subtropical characteristics over the next few days as it moves northeastward. In the Eastern Pacific, Invest 94E is becoming better organized quickly this afternoon and could become a tropical depression over the next couple days as it moves…

Read More Read More

Rina now post-tropical, could the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season be over?

Rina now post-tropical, could the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season be over?

Comments 0 Comment

Tropical Storm Rina transitioned into a post-tropical cyclone Thursday morning, with cold air being wrapped into its circulation. The post-tropical remnants of Rina should dissipate tomorrow or Saturday. The dissipation of Rina could mark the end of the extremely active and destructive 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. But will it? Atlantic hurricane season does not officially end until November 30, and it’s not out of the question to see development during the month of December. While the majority of Atlantic hurricane…

Read More Read More

©2017-2019 Cyclonic Fury. All Rights Reserved.