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Cyclonic Fury’s March 2020 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Active season likely, but still early

Cyclonic Fury’s March 2020 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Active season likely, but still early

The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins June 1, just over two months from today. The Atlantic has not been following these seasonal boundaries lately, though, with the past five years all having at least one named storm form prior to June 1 (most of these storms have been weak, however). Forecasting Atlantic hurricane activity in March is challenging because of uncertainties with the Atlantic sea surface temperature anomaly pattern as well as El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Currently, the…

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Cyclonic Fury’s March 2018 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

Cyclonic Fury’s March 2018 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

Today is March 20 – the vernal (spring) equinox in the Northern Hemisphere. The start of spring is a reminder that the start of hurricane season will soon be upon us in just over two months. On June 1, the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season will officially begin, although there is about a 10 percent chance a storm could form before then. There is considerable uncertainty about how warm the tropical Atlantic will be during the peak of the season, as…

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