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Tropical Storm Ida forms over the Northwestern Caribbean – a significant hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

Tropical Storm Ida forms over the Northwestern Caribbean – a significant hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

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The ninth tropical storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Ida, was named Thursday evening over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Ida has a very favorable environment for significant intensification over the next several days. The global model consensus indicates that Ida is likely to become a powerful hurricane over the central Gulf of Mexico, with significant deepening likely up until around the time of landfall. In addition to Ida, both Invests 97L and 98L have potential to develop…

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June-tember: Monitoring Invests 95L and 97L over the tropical Atlantic

June-tember: Monitoring Invests 95L and 97L over the tropical Atlantic

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It looks much more like September than late June over the deep tropical Atlantic, with two tropical waves currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for development. Invest 95L, located east of the Lesser Antilles, has not become much better organized, and its development chances appear to be decreasing. However, newly-designated Invest 97L over the southeastern tropical Atlantic is looking increasingly likely to be the Atlantic’s first deep tropics cyclone of 2021. Should either or both of 95L or…

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Four systems to watch in the Atlantic for potential development

Four systems to watch in the Atlantic for potential development

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Although the Atlantic currently has no tropical cyclones active, there are four systems being monitored for potential development. The first, Invest 97L, is an area of low pressure east of the Windward Islands which is headed for less favorable conditions, and development appears unlikely. The second, Invest 98L, is a broad area of low pressure southeast of Bermuda, which could gradually gain tropical characteristics some time next week. The third, Invest 99L, is a vigorous tropical wave which has recently…

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Hilary and Irwin change little, Typhoon Nesat headed for Taiwan, 97L not expected to develop

Hilary and Irwin change little, Typhoon Nesat headed for Taiwan, 97L not expected to develop

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The global tropics remain active today, but little has changed since yesterday. Hurricane Hilary weakened to a tropical storm last night, and has changed little in strength today. Tropical Storm Irwin has also changed very little in strength. The eastern Atlantic disturbance was briefly designated Invest 97L last night, but was quickly dropped from the Tropical Weather Outlook after it failed to organize. Tropical Storms Hilary and Irwin still expected to merge early next week As of 2:00 p.m. PDT…

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