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Invest 95L likely to become powerful hurricane over the tropical Atlantic

Invest 95L likely to become powerful hurricane over the tropical Atlantic

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An area of low pressure has formed in association with a tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic, designated Invest 95L by the National Hurricane Center. 95L is likely to become a powerful hurricane by the weekend as it moves generally west-northwestward over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. As of 18:00 UTC Monday, Invest 95L was centered near 11.4°N 34.9°W. Maximum sustained winds were 30 knots (35 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1010 mb. The associated shower and thunderstorm…

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TS Nicholas heading for Texas, new tropical wave may develop later this week

TS Nicholas heading for Texas, new tropical wave may develop later this week

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Tropical Storm Nicholas, the 14th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, is expected to make landfall in southeastern Texas early Tuesday morning. In addition to Nicholas, another tropical wave (Invest 95L) has recently emerged off the coast of western Africa, and could become a tropical depression later this week. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Nicholas was centered near 27.4°N 96.4°W, and was moving north-northeastward at about 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 55…

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TS Fred inland over Hispaniola, Invest 95L may develop over the next few days

TS Fred inland over Hispaniola, Invest 95L may develop over the next few days

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Late Tuesday night, a tropical wave over the northeastern Caribbean Sea developed into Tropical Storm Fred, the sixth named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. Fred’s formation ends a lull of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity that lasted over a month. Fred’s formation date is still significantly earlier than the average sixth Atlantic named storm, but is over a month later than Tropical Storm Fay’s formation on July 9 last year. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Wednesday, Tropical Storm Fred…

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June-tember: Monitoring Invests 95L and 97L over the tropical Atlantic

June-tember: Monitoring Invests 95L and 97L over the tropical Atlantic

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It looks much more like September than late June over the deep tropical Atlantic, with two tropical waves currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for development. Invest 95L, located east of the Lesser Antilles, has not become much better organized, and its development chances appear to be decreasing. However, newly-designated Invest 97L over the southeastern tropical Atlantic is looking increasingly likely to be the Atlantic’s first deep tropics cyclone of 2021. Should either or both of 95L or…

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Fabio a Category 2 hurricane, two areas to watch in the Atlantic

Fabio a Category 2 hurricane, two areas to watch in the Atlantic

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Over the open eastern Pacific, Hurricane Fabio is likely peaking in intensity as a high-end Category 2 hurricane. A weakening trend is likely to commence for Fabio on Wednesday. The quiet period over the Atlantic basin is likely to end, with two disturbances with a chance of development over the next five days. The first, an area of disturbed weather near Bermuda, could gradually acquire some tropical characteristics later this week over the subtropical western Atlantic. The second – a…

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Irma strengthens into an extremely dangerous Category 5 hurricane, Tropical Storm Jose forms over the central Atlantic

Irma strengthens into an extremely dangerous Category 5 hurricane, Tropical Storm Jose forms over the central Atlantic

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Hurricane Irma strengthened into a rare category 5 hurricane Tuesday morning just east of the Leeward Islands, and has since intensified further to become the strongest Atlantic hurricane in wind speed since Wilma in 2005. Irma is an extremely dangerous hurricane with a well-defined, large eye surrounded by a ring of very deep convection. Irma is likely near its peak intensity and will likely begin to weaken by tomorrow if an eyewall replacement cycle occurs, but Irma is likely to…

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Invest 95L in Atlantic could develop into a weak tropical cyclone near the Windward Islands

Invest 95L in Atlantic could develop into a weak tropical cyclone near the Windward Islands

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A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands was designated Invest 95L early Sunday morning by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), and has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm this week. Forecast for 95L As of 00:00 UTC Monday, Invest 95L was centered near 10.4°N 47.8°W. Maximum sustained winds were estimated at 25 knots (30 mph) with an estimated minimum pressure of 1011 mb. 95L has become slightly better…

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