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Tag: Invest 92L

Harvey remains disorganized over the Eastern Caribbean, but could strengthen later, 92L becoming less likely to develop

Harvey remains disorganized over the Eastern Caribbean, but could strengthen later, 92L becoming less likely to develop

Tropical Storm Harvey has changed little in organization since yesterday as it has dealt with moderate easterly wind shear, fast movement and dry mid-level air. The center of circulation is not particularly well defined, and significant strengthening is unlikely for the next day or two. However, conditions could become more favorable for strengthening as Harvey enters the western Caribbean Sea by early next week if it manages to avoid land interaction with the Honduras and Nicaragua.  The model guidance is…

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Gert now extratropical, Tropical Storm Harvey forms east of the Lesser Antilles, 92L likely to develop

Gert now extratropical, Tropical Storm Harvey forms east of the Lesser Antilles, 92L likely to develop

Hurricane Gert transitioned into a post-tropical cyclone Thursday afternoon after its circulation became very elongated and became associated with frontal boundaries. As soon as Gert transitioned into an extratropical cyclone, however, Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine developed into Tropical Storm Harvey east of the Windward Islands. Harvey is expected to approach the Windwards as a tropical storm, and tropical storm warnings have been issued for parts of the area. East of Harvey is Invest 92L, which has a high chance to…

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Category 2 Gert likely to turn extratropical soon, three tropical waves could develop over next five days

Category 2 Gert likely to turn extratropical soon, three tropical waves could develop over next five days

Hurricane Gert is likely peaking in intensity as a category 2 hurricane, the strongest storm of the season so far. Gert was able to develop a well-defined eye and strengthen at an unusually high latitude – the strongest hurricane so far north by wind speed since Alex in 2004. Gert should transition into an extratropical cyclone by early on Friday. There are three tropical disturbances across the Atlantic Main Development Region (MDR) that have a chance to develop (including Invests…

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Twin invests: 92L struggling to develop thunderstorms, 93L likely to become tropical storm over Gulf of Mexico

Twin invests: 92L struggling to develop thunderstorms, 93L likely to become tropical storm over Gulf of Mexico

For the first time since September 2016, the Atlantic has two investigative areas (known officially as invests) at once! Yesterday, a tropical wave was designated 92L in the central Atlantic. This morning, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) designated Invest 93L – a broad area of low pressure over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. Both have a significant chance of developing into tropical cyclones over the next few days. The NHC gives 92L a 40 percent chance of development within 48 hours,…

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