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Cyclonic Fury’s March 2022 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Seventh straight above-average season likely

Cyclonic Fury’s March 2022 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Seventh straight above-average season likely

The official start of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season is just over two months away, and the past seven seasons have had at least one named storm prior to June. As the season draws closer, there is increasing confidence that the Atlantic could be headed for its seventh consecutive above-average hurricane season. El Niño appears very unlikely to develop, and the Atlantic remains in an active era of hurricane activity that began in 1995. Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Pattern The…

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June CPC Update: El Niño chances continue to diminish for the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season

June CPC Update: El Niño chances continue to diminish for the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season

Thursday morning, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued their monthly discussion on the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is typically released on the second Thursday of each month. Their update lowered the chances of El Niño for fall 2017, with chances being lowered from about 45% to 35-40%. No El Niño Watch was issued, meaning the development of El Niño is not imminent. This continues the trend of the past few ENSO discussions: lowering chances of El Niño and increasing chances of ENSO-neutral…

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