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Tag: 2017 Pacific typhoon season

Lan slowly strengthening – expected to brush Japan on Sunday and Monday

Lan slowly strengthening – expected to brush Japan on Sunday and Monday

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Typhoon Lan has slowly – rather than rapidly – intensified over the Western Pacific. Unlike the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which has featured well above average activity, the 2017 Pacific typhoon season has seen well below-average activity in Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) – only about 55 percent of normal. It appears unlikely now that Lan will be able to intensify into a super typhoon (150+ mph 1-minute sustained winds), although it cannot be ruled out yet. The Western Pacific has…

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Atlantic and East Pacific both quiet, Typhoon Lan a threat to Japan

Atlantic and East Pacific both quiet, Typhoon Lan a threat to Japan

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The Atlantic and East Pacific are both quiet today, with no tropical cyclones active or expected to form in the next five days. There is only one tropical cyclone worldwide – Typhoon Lan in the Western Pacific, which could pose a possible threat to Japan later this week. As of 00:00 UTC Wednesday, Lan was centered near 12.1°N 132.3°E. Maximum 1-minute sustained winds were 65 knots (75 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 977 mb. Lan is likely to strengthen…

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New African wave could develop, 91E not very likely to develop, Noru a serious threat to southern Japan

New African wave could develop, 91E not very likely to develop, Noru a serious threat to southern Japan

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There are several areas to watch in the Northern Hemisphere tropics today, but the Atlantic and East Pacific both do not have a tropical cyclone active – the first occurrence of such event since July 7. In the Atlantic, a tropical wave has a chance to develop into the Atlantic’s next tropical cyclone, and could end up as a long-tracked storm. In the Eastern Pacific, Invest 91E has become slightly better organized today, but is not very likely to develop…

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Invest 98L has a low chance to develop over Eastern Gulf of Mexico, Noru rapidly intensifies to Earth’s strongest tropical cyclone of 2017

Invest 98L has a low chance to develop over Eastern Gulf of Mexico, Noru rapidly intensifies to Earth’s strongest tropical cyclone of 2017

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A well-defined area of low pressure located along a dissipating cold front in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico was designated Invest 98L by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Sunday morning. Aside from 98L, a tropical wave in the central tropical Atlantic is becoming less likely to develop due to dry air. In the Western Pacific, Typhoon Noru explosively intensified to Earth’s first category 5 tropical cyclone of 2017, but has since weakened slightly. In the Eastern Pacific, Hilary has now…

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Hilary and Irwin change little, Typhoon Nesat headed for Taiwan, 97L not expected to develop

Hilary and Irwin change little, Typhoon Nesat headed for Taiwan, 97L not expected to develop

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The global tropics remain active today, but little has changed since yesterday. Hurricane Hilary weakened to a tropical storm last night, and has changed little in strength today. Tropical Storm Irwin has also changed very little in strength. The eastern Atlantic disturbance was briefly designated Invest 97L last night, but was quickly dropped from the Tropical Weather Outlook after it failed to organize. Tropical Storms Hilary and Irwin still expected to merge early next week As of 2:00 p.m. PDT…

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Hilary expected to absorb Irwin, Nesat headed for Taiwan, Atlantic low pressure system may develop

Hilary expected to absorb Irwin, Nesat headed for Taiwan, Atlantic low pressure system may develop

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There are several areas to watch in the tropical Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, and Western Pacific today as the global tropics remain active. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Hilary and Tropical Storm Irwin expected to begin Fujiwhara Interaction this weekend. The global models continue to indicate that the larger and stronger Hilary will be the dominant cyclone. In the Atlantic, an area of low pressure has formed from a tropical wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, and has a chance…

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Noru holding steady in West Pacific, Kulap weakening, Sonca headed for Vietnam

Noru holding steady in West Pacific, Kulap weakening, Sonca headed for Vietnam

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In the Western Pacific, the tropics remain very active with three active tropical cyclones. Typhoon Noru is changing little in intensity as it spins out in the open Western Pacific.  Tropical Storm Kulap is weakening, and is likely to be absorbed by Noru later this week. Tropical Storm Sonca is moving into the Gulf of Tonkin and is expected to make landfall in central Vietnam. Noru likely to spin over the open Pacific for over a week Typhoon Noru weakened…

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Tropical Storms Hilary and Irwin form in East Pacific, Noru becomes the first typhoon of 2017

Tropical Storms Hilary and Irwin form in East Pacific, Noru becomes the first typhoon of 2017

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Two tropical depressions in the Eastern Pacific have strengthened into named tropical storms: Tropical Depression Nine-E has strengthened into Tropical Storm Hilary, and Tropical Depression Ten-E has strengthened into Tropical Storm Irwin. Hilary is likely to become a major hurricane, while Irwin also has a chance to become a hurricane. In the West Pacific, Tropical Storm Noru has strengthened into a typhoon, a category 2 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale, making it the first typhoon of the 2017 season and…

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The Pacific Seven: Tropical Cyclone Outbreak across the North Pacific, Atlantic remains quiet

The Pacific Seven: Tropical Cyclone Outbreak across the North Pacific, Atlantic remains quiet

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While the Atlantic basin remains quiet, the Pacific has exploded with a total of seven tropical cyclones active this evening, although all are fairly weak. Two are in the Eastern Pacific: Tropical Storm Greg and Tropical Depression Nine-E. One is in the Central Pacific – Tropical Storm Fernanda, which was previously a powerful Category 4 hurricane last week. Four are in the Western Pacific: Tropical Storms Noru and Kulap as well as Tropical Depressions 08W and 10W. A possible eighth…

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Fernanda weakens slightly, Tropical Storm Talas forms in South China Sea, three areas of interest in Atlantic and East Pacific

Fernanda weakens slightly, Tropical Storm Talas forms in South China Sea, three areas of interest in Atlantic and East Pacific

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Aside from Hurricane Fernanda, which has weakened slightly from yesterday, the global tropics have lit up today with several systems. In the Atlantic, a trough of low pressure has a low chance to develop into a tropical cyclone as it approaches the Windward Islands by Tuesday. In the Western Pacific, Tropical Storm Talas has developed over the South China Sea, and is likely to strengthen slightly over the Gulf of Tonkin tomorrow. In the Eastern Pacific, Invest 97E is likely…

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