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Jose maintaining category 1 intensity, Tropical Storm Max quickly strengthening in Eastern Pacific as it nears landfall

Jose maintaining category 1 intensity, Tropical Storm Max quickly strengthening in Eastern Pacific as it nears landfall

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Hurricane Jose has changed little in intensity the past two days, and remains a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale as it begins to turn westward. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Max has rapidly developed and has a chance to become a hurricane prior to landfall in Mexico. Status quo for Jose; likely to weaken very slowly over coming days As of 11:00 p.m. EDT, Hurricane Jose was centered near 25.2°N 66.0°W, and was moving westward at…

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Irma weakens to a tropical depression over Georgia, Jose battling wind shear

Irma weakens to a tropical depression over Georgia, Jose battling wind shear

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Hurricane Irma has quickly weakened today, and is now a tropical depression. Irma is expected to become a post-tropical remnant low on Tuesday as it is beginning to lose tropical characteristics. Meanwhile, Hurricane Jose is weakening as it contends with strong wind shear, and Tropical Depression Fifteen-E has formed in the Eastern Pacific and it is not likely to strengthen much. Irma now a tropical depression, expected to become a remnant low on Tuesday As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Monday,…

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Harvey weakens to a tropical depression inland Louisiana, Tropical Storm Irma forms over the Eastern Atlantic

Harvey weakens to a tropical depression inland Louisiana, Tropical Storm Irma forms over the Eastern Atlantic

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Tropical Storm Harvey made landfall near Cameron, Louisiana, early Wednesday morning, and has since weakened to a tropical depression inland. As Harvey made landfall, a new tropical storm formed in the eastern Atlantic, named Irma. Irma is likely to strengthen into a hurricane tomorrow and is likely to become the second major hurricane of the season by early next week in the tropical Atlantic, which has lacked strong hurricanes in recent years. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Lidia has…

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Harvey expected to regenerate over the Western Gulf of Mexico, 92L still could develop, Kenneth beginning to weaken

Harvey expected to regenerate over the Western Gulf of Mexico, 92L still could develop, Kenneth beginning to weaken

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The remnants of Tropical Storm Harvey have not become much better organized today, and are unlikely to redevelop into a tropical cyclone prior to crossing the Yucatan Peninsula. However, Harvey’s remnants are expected to emerge into the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday, and are expected to continue on a west-northwestward to northwestward path. Conditions are expected to be favorable for development over the Gulf of Mexico, and Harvey could strike Northern Mexico, Texas, or perhaps even Louisiana as a strong…

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Remnants of Harvey likely to regenerate, 92L could still develop, Hurricane Kenneth rapidly intensifies into a major hurricane over the Eastern Pacific

Remnants of Harvey likely to regenerate, 92L could still develop, Hurricane Kenneth rapidly intensifies into a major hurricane over the Eastern Pacific

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The remnants of Tropical Storm Harvey have changed little in organization today, but are likely to regenerate, either over the Gulf of Honduras or Bay of Campeche. Aside from Harvey, Invest 92L east of the Bahamas has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next five days over the western Atlantic Ocean. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Kenneth rapidly intensified into a hurricane this morning, and is now likely going to become a category 3…

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Harvey remains disorganized over the Eastern Caribbean, but could strengthen later, 92L becoming less likely to develop

Harvey remains disorganized over the Eastern Caribbean, but could strengthen later, 92L becoming less likely to develop

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Tropical Storm Harvey has changed little in organization since yesterday as it has dealt with moderate easterly wind shear, fast movement and dry mid-level air. The center of circulation is not particularly well defined, and significant strengthening is unlikely for the next day or two. However, conditions could become more favorable for strengthening as Harvey enters the western Caribbean Sea by early next week if it manages to avoid land interaction with the Honduras and Nicaragua.  The model guidance is…

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Tropical Depression Eight forms east of the Bahamas, Tropical Depression Jova struggling over the Eastern Pacific

Tropical Depression Eight forms east of the Bahamas, Tropical Depression Jova struggling over the Eastern Pacific

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The fast start to the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season continues. After nine days of being an invest, Invest 99L finally developed a well-defined circulation and sufficient organized convection to be designated a tropical depression Saturday evening. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Eight, located to the east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands. Eight is likely to strengthen into a tropical storm and has the potential to strengthen to near hurricane strength along the Gulf…

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Invests 99L in Atlantic, 92E in Eastern Pacific could develop this weekend

Invests 99L in Atlantic, 92E in Eastern Pacific could develop this weekend

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Two investigative areas “invests” – one over the Atlantic (Invest 99L) and one over the Eastern Pacific (92E) have a good chance to develop into tropical depressions this weekend. 99L – an area of low pressure we have been tracking in the Atlantic for over a week – is expected to move into a more conducive environment for development this weekend as wind shear is expected to decrease. Invest 92E, associated with the remnants of Atlantic Hurricane Franklin, is very…

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Franklin dissipates over the mountains of Mexico, but could regenerate over the Eastern Pacific, tenacious Invest 99L still could develop

Franklin dissipates over the mountains of Mexico, but could regenerate over the Eastern Pacific, tenacious Invest 99L still could develop

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Hurricane Franklin made landfall in the Mexican state of Veracruz around 1:00 a.m. CDT as a category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 75 knots (85 mph) and a minimum pressure of 988 mb. Franklin’s circulation quickly dissipated over the mountains of central Mexico. However, the mid-level remnant energy of Franklin has a medium chance of regenerating into a tropical cyclone over the Eastern Pacific, but if regeneration does occur, the new storm should be short-lived. Invest 99L remains…

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Franklin becomes the first Atlantic hurricane of 2017 as it nears landfall in Veracruz, Mexico, 99L becoming better organized

Franklin becomes the first Atlantic hurricane of 2017 as it nears landfall in Veracruz, Mexico, 99L becoming better organized

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Tropical Storm Franklin quickly intensified to the first hurricane of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season on Wednesday afternoon over the western Bay of Campeche. Franklin’s strengthening into a hurricane on August 9 is just one day ahead of the climatological average date of the first hurricane – August 10. Franklin is expected to make landfall during the next few hours in the Mexican state of Veracruz, and Hurricane Warnings are in effect from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo. Hurricane…

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