ECMWF May climate forecast update is in, still showing El Niño but shows a less hostile tropical Atlantic than previous runs

ECMWF May climate forecast update is in, still showing El Niño but shows a less hostile tropical Atlantic than previous runs

Each month, the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) runs a climate model to predict temperature and rainfall trends throughout the world. This model also is used to predict sea surface temperature, and this helps meteorologists predict the upcoming hurricane season. The May update to the ECMWF climate model was released to the public today. It shows a more favorable Atlantic for the peak season period of August/September/October, with near-normal rainfall in the both the Atlantic Main Development…

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My 2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

My 2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

Welcome to Cyclonic Fury’s Daily Blog! From now until the end of November, I will add a blog post nearly every day about the latest news in tropical weather. Today is May 15 – and the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins in only 17 days.  Tropical cyclones form primarily in the Atlantic between June 1 and November 30 (the dates that are officially considered Atlantic hurricane season), however, they can form before or after these dates, as evidenced by Tropical…

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2017 East Pacific hurricane season names

2017 East Pacific hurricane season names

Much like in the Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) names tropical storms and hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific Ocean east of 140°W. The East Pacific hurricane season officially begins tomorrow, and the NHC will begin issuing routine Tropical Weather Outlooks through November 30 starting tomorrow morning. The first East Pacific named storm – Adrian – has already formed; last week it became the earliest named storm on record to form in the East Pacific proper. However, Adrian quickly dissipated…

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2017 Atlantic hurricane season names

2017 Atlantic hurricane season names

Every year, the National Hurricane Center names tropical storms and hurricanes, based on a list of names created by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). There are 6 naming lists that recycle every 6 years. Names of unusually destructive tropical storms and hurricanes may be retired the following spring. The names that will be used for the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season are: Arlene (already used)  Bret Cindy Don Emily Franklin Gert Harvey Irma Jose Katia Lee Maria Nate Ophelia Philippe Rina…

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Welcome to Cyclonic Fury!

Welcome to Cyclonic Fury!

Welcome to Cyclonic Fury! This new blog will cover tropical cyclones worldwide, with an emphasis on the Atlantic basin in particular. The blog will launch with semi-daily posts beginning on May 15 about the latest updates on global tropical cyclone activity.

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