TS Claudette moving away from the United States east coast, another disturbance to watch in the tropical Atlantic

TS Claudette moving away from the United States east coast, another disturbance to watch in the tropical Atlantic

The Atlantic basin remains fairly active for the month of June, with Claudette regaining tropical storm status off the United States east coast as it accelerates northeastward. In the central tropical Atlantic, there is a tropical wave with a low chance of development over the next two days, but only has a narrow window for potential development.

Visible satellite image of Tropical Storm Claudette off the coast of North Carolina, taken by the Terra satellite Monday morning. (Source: NASA/EODSIS Worldview)

As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Tropical Storm Claudette was centered near 37.5°N 72.1°W, and was moving east-northeastward at about 29 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 40 knots (45 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1004 mb. Although Claudette has moved over water and its maximum sustained winds have increased, Claudette is not a particularly well-organized cyclone, with an elongated low-level circulation. Claudette is the third named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, and the second named storm to form in June. This is above average, as the month of June averages about one named storm every two years. Claudette is likely to open up into a trough or become an extratropical cyclone sometime on Tuesday morning. Claudette is blamed for at least 13 fatalities in the United States. No watches or warnings are currently in effect because of Claudette.

NHC Tropical Weather Outlook for Monday, June 21, 2021, 2:00 p.m. EDT. (Source: National Hurricane Center)

There is also a tropical wave being monitored for potential tropical development over the central tropical Atlantic – the second so far in 2021. This small area of disturbed weather is given a 30 percent chance of development by the NHC (National Hurricane Center), both within 48 hours and five days. It has not been classified as an “invest” yet. Global models are somewhat bearish with this disturbance, but suggest there is a chance that it could become a weak, short-lived tropical cyclone before conditions become more hostile by Thursday. The next name on the Atlantic naming list is Danny.

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