Browsed by
Tag: Active Tropics

Invest 90E in Eastern Pacific may develop over the next few days

Invest 90E in Eastern Pacific may develop over the next few days

Comments 0 Comment

The first “Invest” of the year for the Eastern Pacific – 90E – was designated Monday afternoon. 90E has a medium chance of tropical cyclone development within the next five days, but conditions are expected to become less conducive for development by late week and into the weekend. 90E is no threat to any land areas. An Invest – short for area of investigation – is an area of disturbed weather being monitored for possible tropical or subtropical development. Invests are…

Read More Read More

Pre-season tropical development possible in Eastern Pacific next week

Pre-season tropical development possible in Eastern Pacific next week

Comments 0 Comment

Although the trough near the Bahamas did not develop into a tropical or subtropical cyclone, there is a strong model consensus that the first tropical cyclone of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season may form next week. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the open Pacific near 10°N 120°W, and this system will need to be watched for potential development next week as it moves west-northwestward or northwestward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has not yet mentioned…

Read More Read More

Bahamas trough not expected to develop, East Pacific development next week?

Bahamas trough not expected to develop, East Pacific development next week?

Comments 0 Comment

Late Friday morning, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued their first Special Tropical Weather Outlook (STWO) of 2018 on the trough near the Bahamas. The system unofficially kicks off the start of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially begins in just four weeks on June 1. NHC gives this system a near zero percent chance of development, both within 48 hours and five days. It has not been given an “Invest” designation. The trough is expected to move westward,…

Read More Read More

Continuing to watch the Bahamas for slight development late this week and this weekend

Continuing to watch the Bahamas for slight development late this week and this weekend

Comments 0 Comment

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have developed near the Bahamas today. A surface trough is expected to form north of Puerto Rico early Thursday morning, and this system has a very small chance of acquiring subtropical or tropical characteristics by Saturday. Wind shear over the region is currently extremely high – about 70 knots. However, shear is likely to drop on Friday as an upper-level low will move into the region – giving this system a narrow window of tropical or…

Read More Read More

Low chance of subtropical development near the Bahamas this weekend

Low chance of subtropical development near the Bahamas this weekend

Comments 0 Comment

The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins in just one month, but there is a system worth watching for at least some slight development this weekend. A weak surface low pressure system is expected to develop southeast of the Bahamas late this week, and there is a low chance that it could take on some subtropical or tropical characteristics this weekend. This has been a hotspot for May tropical cyclones in recent years. Six tropical cyclones have formed in the Atlantic…

Read More Read More

Unusual November Tropical Action: Watching Invests 96L and 94E

Unusual November Tropical Action: Watching Invests 96L and 94E

Comments 0 Comment

It may be Veterans Day, but the Atlantic and East Pacific hurricane seasons still may not be over just yet. A trough of low pressure located southwest of the Azores – recently designated Invest 96L – has a chance to develop some subtropical characteristics over the next few days as it moves northeastward. In the Eastern Pacific, Invest 94E is becoming better organized quickly this afternoon and could become a tropical depression over the next couple days as it moves…

Read More Read More

Rina now post-tropical, could the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season be over?

Rina now post-tropical, could the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season be over?

Comments 0 Comment

Tropical Storm Rina transitioned into a post-tropical cyclone Thursday morning, with cold air being wrapped into its circulation. The post-tropical remnants of Rina should dissipate tomorrow or Saturday. The dissipation of Rina could mark the end of the extremely active and destructive 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. But will it? Atlantic hurricane season does not officially end until November 30, and it’s not out of the question to see development during the month of December. While the majority of Atlantic hurricane…

Read More Read More

Rina strengthens a little more – expected to turn post-tropical Wednesday night or Thursday morning

Rina strengthens a little more – expected to turn post-tropical Wednesday night or Thursday morning

Comments 0 Comment

Tropical Storm Rina has strengthened a little more today as it moves northward into the cool waters of the Northern Atlantic. Rina has begun to acquire some subtropical characteristics, with a comma-shaped cloud pattern and little deep convection near the center. However, Rina maintains a warm core so it has not been declared a post-tropical cyclone yet. Regardless, Rina should transition into an extratropical cyclone late tonight or early Thursday as it loses all deep convection and becomes embedded in…

Read More Read More

Tropical Storm Rina strengthening over the Atlantic

Tropical Storm Rina strengthening over the Atlantic

Comments 0 Comment

Tropical Storm Rina, the seventeenth named storm of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, is gradually gaining strength over the central subtropical Atlantic. As of 10:00 p.m. EST Tuesday, Rina was centered near 35.4°N 48.5°W, and was moving northward at about 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 45 knots (50 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1000 mb. Rina is likely to strengthen a little more on Wednesday, partially aided by baroclinic forcing and marginally favorable conditions. Rina should then transition…

Read More Read More

Non-threatening Tropical Depression Nineteen forms over the Open Atlantic

Non-threatening Tropical Depression Nineteen forms over the Open Atlantic

Comments 0 Comment

The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season is not over yet. A non-tropical area of low pressure located over the central subtropical Atlantic acquired a well-defined circulation and persistent deep convection, resulting in the initiation of advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen early this morning. The depression is no threat to land, and is likely to strengthen into Tropical Storm Rina later today or on Tuesday as it moves north-northeastward through a marginally favorable environment. If Nineteen does become named Rina, 2017 will…

Read More Read More

©2017-2019 Cyclonic Fury. All Rights Reserved.