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World Meteorological Organization retires the name Melissa, replaced by Molly

World Meteorological Organization retires the name Melissa, replaced by Molly

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The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) met this week in Mexico City for its 48th session of the Regional Association IV Hurricane Committee. During the conference, the WMO typically retires hurricane names of the past season. Today, the committee retired the name Melissa, which caused catastrophic damage to Jamaica in late October of last year. Melissa’s peak wind speed was recently increased from 185 to 190 mph in its Tropical Cyclone Report, making Melissa tied with Allen (1980) for the strongest…

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Tropical Storm Erin forms over the eastern tropical Atlantic

Tropical Storm Erin forms over the eastern tropical Atlantic

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The fifth named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Erin, formed over the eastern tropical Atlantic on Monday morning. Erin is the first “Cabo Verde” type tropical cyclone of the year, which are typically long-lived tropical cyclones that form from African easterly waves off the coast of west Africa. Erin is no imminent threat to land, and is expected to intensify into the first hurricane (and potentially first major hurricane) of the 2025 season over the coming…

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Invest 91L could develop over the Bay of Campeche late this weekend

Invest 91L could develop over the Bay of Campeche late this weekend

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A broad area of low pressure, Invest 91L, has been designated over the southwestern Yucatan Peninsula. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) currently gives 91L a 30 percent chance of development, both within 48 hours and seven days. 91L is expected to emerge over the Bay of Campeche tomorrow, where additional development is possible. The environment for 91L is only marginally conducive for development. Although sea surface temperatures are warm enough, upper level winds are expected to be strong except over…

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2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins

2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins

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Today is June 1, the official start date of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. So far, no tropical cyclones have formed in the North Atlantic basin in 2025. Most forecasters, including Cyclonic Fury, are predicting a slightly above average (but not hyperactive) hurricane season this year. The following names will be used for tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic basin this year: When will the season start? Tropical cyclone development does not appear imminent in the North Atlantic basin, with…

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CYCLONIC FURY’S preliminary 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: slightly above-average season likely

CYCLONIC FURY’S preliminary 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: slightly above-average season likely

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The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will officially begin in exactly two months, on June 1. Although the season fell somewhat short of the most bullish forecasts, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season was still very active and devastating, with a total of 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. Although an above-average season is still likely in 2025, the 2025 season is likely to be somewhat less active than 2024, as environmental conditions appear likely to be somewhat less…

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