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Erin explosively intensifies into Category 5 hurricane

Erin explosively intensifies into Category 5 hurricane

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Hurricane Erin, the first hurricane (and major hurricane) of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, underwent explosive intensification Friday evening into this morning, and is now a Category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 160 mph north of the Leeward Islands. Erin is the first Category 5 hurricane in the North Atlantic during August since Hurricane Dean in 2007. The Atlantic basin has had at least one Category 5 hurricane form for four straight years. As of 11:20 a.m. EDT…

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Tropical Storm Erin forms over the eastern tropical Atlantic

Tropical Storm Erin forms over the eastern tropical Atlantic

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The fifth named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Erin, formed over the eastern tropical Atlantic on Monday morning. Erin is the first “Cabo Verde” type tropical cyclone of the year, which are typically long-lived tropical cyclones that form from African easterly waves off the coast of west Africa. Erin is no imminent threat to land, and is expected to intensify into the first hurricane (and potentially first major hurricane) of the 2025 season over the coming…

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Tropical Storm Chantal forms off the southeastern United States coast

Tropical Storm Chantal forms off the southeastern United States coast

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Tropical Storm Chantal, the third named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, formed Saturday morning due east of the Georgia coastline. Chantal could strengthen slightly today before it moves inland into northeastern South Carolina tomorrow morning. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT Saturday, Tropical Storm Chantal was centered near 31.1°N 78.7°W, and was moving northward at 1 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 35 knots (40 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1007 mb. Chantal is a sheared tropical cyclone,…

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Tropical Storm Barry approaching the Gulf coast of Mexico, expected to make landfall tonight

Tropical Storm Barry approaching the Gulf coast of Mexico, expected to make landfall tonight

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Poorly-organized Tropical Depression Two over the Bay of Campeche became better organized this morning, and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Barry – the second named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Barry is likely at its peak intensity, and the disorganized tropical storm is expected to make landfall in eastern Mexico tonight. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT) Sunday, Tropical Storm Barry was centered near 21.2°N 96.9°W, and was moving northwestward at approximately 9 mph. Maximum sustained…

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Tropical Depression Two rapidly develops over the Bay of Campeche

Tropical Depression Two rapidly develops over the Bay of Campeche

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The Atlantic basin’s second tropical cyclone of 2025, Tropical Depression Two, formed Saturday afternoon over the Bay of Campeche. At this time yesterday, the disturbance that became TD Two was only given a 20 percent chance of development. But as is common in the Bay of Campeche, especially this time of year, the curvature of the coastline resulted in the development of a small low-level circulation. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft confirmed that the circulation is now well-defined, and…

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Invest 91L could develop over the Bay of Campeche late this weekend

Invest 91L could develop over the Bay of Campeche late this weekend

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A broad area of low pressure, Invest 91L, has been designated over the southwestern Yucatan Peninsula. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) currently gives 91L a 30 percent chance of development, both within 48 hours and seven days. 91L is expected to emerge over the Bay of Campeche tomorrow, where additional development is possible. The environment for 91L is only marginally conducive for development. Although sea surface temperatures are warm enough, upper level winds are expected to be strong except over…

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Tropical Storm Andrea forms over the central Atlantic

Tropical Storm Andrea forms over the central Atlantic

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The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Andrea, formed this morning over the Central Atlantic Ocean. Andrea is a very disorganized tropical storm in only a marginally favorable environment, and is expected to be a short-lived cyclone. Andrea is no threat to land. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT Tuesday, Tropical Storm Andrea was centered near 36.6°N 48.9°W, and was moving east-northeastward at 17 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 35 knots (40 mph), with an estimated…

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2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins

2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins

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Today is June 1, the official start date of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. So far, no tropical cyclones have formed in the North Atlantic basin in 2025. Most forecasters, including Cyclonic Fury, are predicting a slightly above average (but not hyperactive) hurricane season this year. The following names will be used for tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic basin this year: When will the season start? Tropical cyclone development does not appear imminent in the North Atlantic basin, with…

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CYCLONIC FURY’S preliminary 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: slightly above-average season likely

CYCLONIC FURY’S preliminary 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: slightly above-average season likely

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The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will officially begin in exactly two months, on June 1. Although the season fell somewhat short of the most bullish forecasts, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season was still very active and devastating, with a total of 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. Although an above-average season is still likely in 2025, the 2025 season is likely to be somewhat less active than 2024, as environmental conditions appear likely to be somewhat less…

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Active, Destructive 2024 Atlantic hurricane season officially comes to a close

Active, Destructive 2024 Atlantic hurricane season officially comes to a close

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On November 30, the very active and extremely destructive 2024 Atlantic hurricane season officially came to a close. The season featured a total of 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes, with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) of approximately 162 units. A majority of the season’s damage and death toll came from Hurricanes Beryl, Helene and Milton. Six hurricanes made landfall in the Continental United States in 2024, four of which made landfall in Florida. Prior to the…

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