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Category: Active Tropics

TS Peter and TS Rose form over the tropical Atlantic, both expected to remain weak and away from land

TS Peter and TS Rose form over the tropical Atlantic, both expected to remain weak and away from land

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Two named storms formed on Sunday, Tropical Storm Peter and Tropical Storm Rose, the 16th and 17th named storms of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. Both tropical storms are expected to remain weak and not become hurricanes. Rose’s formation marks the second straight year and only the third time in history in which the “R” named storm formed in the month of September. Early Sunday morning, a long-tracked tropical wave developed into Tropical Storm Peter, the 16th named storm of…

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TS Odette forms off U.S. east coast, likely to quickly become post-tropical

TS Odette forms off U.S. east coast, likely to quickly become post-tropical

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Tropical Storm Odette, the 15th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, was named Friday afternoon by the National Hurricane Center. Odette formed from an area of low pressure off the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States. This is the second time the name “Odette” has been used in the Atlantic basin, with the first occurrence being a rare Caribbean December tropical storm in 2003. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Tropical Storm Odette was centered near 36.7°N 71.8°W,…

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TS Nicholas heading for Texas, new tropical wave may develop later this week

TS Nicholas heading for Texas, new tropical wave may develop later this week

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Tropical Storm Nicholas, the 14th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, is expected to make landfall in southeastern Texas early Tuesday morning. In addition to Nicholas, another tropical wave (Invest 95L) has recently emerged off the coast of western Africa, and could become a tropical depression later this week. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Nicholas was centered near 27.4°N 96.4°W, and was moving north-northeastward at about 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 55…

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Larry becomes a major hurricane over the central tropical Atlantic

Larry becomes a major hurricane over the central tropical Atlantic

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Hurricane Larry continues to gradually strengthen over the tropical Atlantic Ocean, and is now a high-end Category 3 major hurricane. This makes Larry the third major hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. The average number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic through September 4 is one, so the Atlantic basin is well above average in major hurricanes so far. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, Hurricane Larry was centered near 17.4°N 47.1°W, and was moving west-northwestward at approximately 14…

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Larry becomes a hurricane in the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean

Larry becomes a hurricane in the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean

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Tropical Storm Larry intensified into the fifth hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday morning, over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Larry is likely to intensify into a major hurricane over the next 2 days or so, but remains no imminent threat to land. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT, Hurricane Larry was centered near 13.5°N 34.2°W, and was moving westward at about 17 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 70 knots (80 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 985…

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Ida weakens to a depression as it moves farther inland, TS Kate no threat, new tropical wave likely to develop

Ida weakens to a depression as it moves farther inland, TS Kate no threat, new tropical wave likely to develop

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Hurricane Ida made landfall near Port Fourchon, Louisiana at 11:55 p.m. CDT Sunday, with maximum sustained winds of 130 knots (150 mph) and a minimum pressure of 930 mb. Ida was the second-most intense hurricane to ever hit the state of Louisiana by minimum pressure, with only Hurricane Katrina of 2005 having a lower pressure (920 mb). Since that time, land interaction and increasing wind shear has caused Ida to weaken rapidly, and Ida is now down to tropical depression…

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Tropical Storm Ida forms over the Northwestern Caribbean – a significant hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

Tropical Storm Ida forms over the Northwestern Caribbean – a significant hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

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The ninth tropical storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Ida, was named Thursday evening over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Ida has a very favorable environment for significant intensification over the next several days. The global model consensus indicates that Ida is likely to become a powerful hurricane over the central Gulf of Mexico, with significant deepening likely up until around the time of landfall. In addition to Ida, both Invests 97L and 98L have potential to develop…

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Hurricane Grace strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, TS Henri expected to hit New England as a hurricane

Hurricane Grace strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, TS Henri expected to hit New England as a hurricane

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The Atlantic basin remains active with two tropical cyclones. Hurricane Grace is strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, and is likely to make landfall in northern Veracruz, Mexico early Saturday morning. In addition, Tropical Storm Henri is still expected to become a hurricane, and has a chance to become the first fully tropical hurricane to make landfall in the New England region since Hurricane Bob in 1991. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT) Friday, Hurricane Grace was centered…

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Grace becomes the second hurricane of the season as it nears the Yucatan Peninsula, TS Henri a potential threat to New England by Monday

Grace becomes the second hurricane of the season as it nears the Yucatan Peninsula, TS Henri a potential threat to New England by Monday

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Tropical Storm Grace intensified into the second hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season Tuesday morning, and some additional intensification is likely before it makes landfall along the northern Yucatan Peninsula early Thursday morning. In addition, Tropical Storm Henri is close to becoming a hurricane, and models are suggesting that it may now pose a threat to New England by early next week. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Wednesday, Hurricane Grace was centered near 19.7°N 83.7°W, and was moving west-northwestward…

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TS Fred makes landfall in eastern Florida Panhandle, Grace a tropical depression but likely to restrengthen, TS Henri forms southeast of Bermuda

TS Fred makes landfall in eastern Florida Panhandle, Grace a tropical depression but likely to restrengthen, TS Henri forms southeast of Bermuda

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The Atlantic basin continues to get more active as the peak of the hurricane season draws closer. Tropical Storm Fred made landfall near Cape San Blas, Florida around 2:15 p.m. CDT (3:15 p.m. EDT), with maximum sustained winds near 65 mph and a minimum pressure of 994 mb. While Fred is likely to dissipate in a couple of days, Tropical Depression Grace is likely to regain strength, potentially becoming a hurricane later this week in the southern Gulf of Mexico….

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